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The multiply-everything model
Independent filters are multiplied (joint probability under independence). A +12% correlation uplift stops “tall + rich” stacks from being astronomically harsher than a naive model.
Receipts & assumptions
Delulu Dating multiplies independent population filters. It's a Fermi estimate for dating — not a prediction about any individual human.
01
Independent filters are multiplied (joint probability under independence). A +12% correlation uplift stops “tall + rich” stacks from being astronomically harsher than a naive model.
02
Census doesn't publish “mean male height” every year. We use the Population Health Survey (2014/15) male mean (169.5 cm) plus a literature SD (~5.8 cm) for the bell curve. Newer self-reported app polls inflate height — we keep the boring government curve until CHP publishes a replacement bundle.
03
Census and Statistics Department Annual Earnings and Hours Survey — male wage percentile curve (HK$), interpolated between published points.
04
2021 Census and thematic reports (simplified age-window and never-married proxies).
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Broad CHP / survey priors — rounded, not bespoke matchmaking intel.
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Blunt priors on common deal-breakers. Must own flat keeps about 11% of modeled men. Must keep a car keeps about 24%. Not estate agency research.
07
~5.5% of the modeled pool for “international / non-local-raised” backgrounds — in the ballpark of Hong Kong's non-Chinese and foreign-born share (Census 2021 ethnic minorities ~8%, deflated because that headline covers all ages and our pool is already narrowed). Not passport policing.
Read this twice
This tool is a playful model built from public statistics. Use it as perspective, not fate.